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The district’s low-propensity voters are newcomers to the district who tend to be younger, non-white and Democratic.“They showed up in ’16/’18, but less so this time,” he tweeted.Late in the race, Democrats appeared to see the writing on the wall. ': New Zealand reimposes restrictions after new coronavirus outbreakThe Morning Briefing: Seattle's Anti-Cop Fever Forces Police Chief Best Out After 28 Years Tom Emmer, who chairs the National Republican Congressional Committee, took to Twitter to do a little boasting and extrapolate the win as a positive sign for Republican odds in this fall’s general election.“It’s been fun night, but only a prelude to November,” he tweeted.Mail-in ballots postmarked Tuesday will still come in in the days ahead, but Dave Wasserman, the House editor of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, said if Garcia’s lead over Smith holds, “and chances look pretty good it will,” he will become the only House Republican from a district Hillary Clinton won with more than 50% of the vote.Wasserman quickly cautioned that the victory could be short-lived because higher turnout in the general election, where Garcia and Smith will face off again, could help Democrats take the seat back.

And right now, conservatives are feeling anger more than anybody. Last week they started lowering expectations for the special election and looking ahead to November when voters will be weighing in on a presidential election and turnout could be twice as high.Republicans, however, touted Garcia’s compelling personal story and fiscally conservative policies as key to his success. Republican Mike Garcia and Democrat Christy Smith face each other in the May 12, 2020 runoff election for California’s 25th Congressional District seat, … Legislation and Voting Record. (Cynthia Smalley/Mike Garcia For Congress via AP) ... normal campaign strategies and last-minute get-out-the-vote efforts upside down.

Older Republican voters returned their ballots in much higher numbers than younger Democrats in the district.“I won’t give a victory speech tonight, I’ll save that for tomorrow night, but things are looking very encouraging,” Garcia said on a conference call Tuesday night while thanking hundreds of campaign volunteers and staff. I’ve got Constitutional Law books,” Smith said.A supporter present at the virtual event with Smith lamented that Garcia’s experience as a Navy fighter pilot gives him no credibility on international affairs, to which Smith nods in agreement. “Hopefully by tomorrow morning, we’ll have enough data to declare victory, but it is looking very good.”Rep. Pete Wilson, and Tuesday night his words carried a mix of nostalgia, gratitude and delight.“I’ve worked for many candidates, but never with greater enthusiasm than I’ve worked for this one,” the 86-year-old former GOP governor said on a celebratory conference call Tuesday night.Less than two years ago, California Republicans were written off as a permanent minority party in the state after losing seven congressional seats in traditionally conservative enclaves such as Orange County and the San Joaquin Valley.Tuesday night they appeared poised to flip a Democrat-held seat back to the Republican column for the first time since 1998, when Wilson was wrapping up his second term in office. Navy veteran Mike Garcia is on the ballot for the GOP in the May 12th special election as the GOP hopes to flip the seat. Assemblywoman Christy Smith (D) was presumed to take Hill’s seat, but GOP groups are Smith is evidently unimpressed with Garcia’s military service credentials, as a clip from a recent Zoom event with Smith’s campaign shows:“Did you guys know he’s a pilot? A highly contested special election is underway in California’s 25th congressional district, a seat that was previously held by Democrat Katie Hill before she resigned at the hands of a sex scandal and a congressional ethics investigation.

Townhall.com is the leading source for conservative news and political commentary and analysis. Both had spent the past six months vying to replace former Rep. Katie Hill in a special election after Hill, a onetime Democratic rising star, resigned last October amid a sex scandal.The race has garnered national attention, considered as both a bellwether for the political climate ahead of November and a glimpse of new campaign dynamics in the COVID-19 era.Republicans tend to fare better in California in elections attracting fewer voters, but Garcia appears to have exceeded party expectations in a race that attracted record participation for a special election.

That escaped me,” Smith sarcastically asked viewers.When discussing a recent candidates’ forum for the special election, Smith continued to mock Garcia’s military service, on account of his background for the Zoom event:“Okay, he’s got pictures of planes behind him. Some 34% of registered voters returned their mail-in ballots, while just a smattering of voters turned up in person at a limited number of polling places.In an unexpected twist, the all mail-in voting that Democrats across the state demanded and Republicans criticized appeared to benefit Garcia. This vote is related to a bill. The pieces lined up for Republicans, who criticized Smith’s voting record in the state assembly as consistently favoring raising taxes, while Garcia… June 4, 2020.

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